After a big 2024 election, why prediction markets could soon eclipse the stock market
Event contracts give markets a way to price in an uncertain future, says Interactive Brokers founder Thomas Peterffy.
Is the stock market predicting a 2024 presidential winner? Here's what we know
The stock market has been rising since July – the S&P 500 3.3% since July. On Election Day it closed up more than 427 points, ...
Morningstar13d
The stock market gives this candidate a 70% chance to be the next U.S. president
History shows this is the way to trade it, says Citi. This stock-market prediction model is not complicated. It exploits the historical tendency for the incumbent political party's chance of ...
What one stock market gauge is predicting about the presidential race
If history is any guide, one stock market gauge suggests that Vice President Kamala Harris will defeat former President Donald Trump in the 2024 presidential race. In all but two elections since 1944, ...